{"created":"2023-06-20T15:03:27.518984+00:00","id":1543,"links":{},"metadata":{"_buckets":{"deposit":"16a3fd1d-2c0f-40b4-947d-060593acc43d"},"_deposit":{"created_by":16,"id":"1543","owners":[16],"pid":{"revision_id":0,"type":"depid","value":"1543"},"status":"published"},"_oai":{"id":"oai:grips.repo.nii.ac.jp:00001543","sets":["1:78"]},"author_link":["8351","8350"],"item_12_alternative_title_1":{"attribute_name":"その他（別言語等）のタイトル","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_alternative_title":"Emergent Uncertainty in Regional Integration -Economic impacts of alternative RTA scenarios-","subitem_alternative_title_language":"en"}]},"item_12_description_18":{"attribute_name":"フォーマット","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_description":"application/pdf","subitem_description_type":"Other"}]},"item_12_description_25":{"attribute_name":"内容注記","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_description":"English version: January, 2017 [16-28(rev.)] http://id.nii.ac.jp/1295/00001539/ | http://id.nii.ac.jp/1295/00001539/","subitem_description_type":"Other"}]},"item_12_description_6":{"attribute_name":"抄録","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_description":"地域統合の動向には深刻な不確実性が高まっている。英国は、EUからの離脱を決定した。米国の新大統領は環太平洋パートナーシップ（TPP）からの撤退に言及してきた。本論文の主な目的は、応用一般均衡世界貿易モデルを用いて、地域貿易協定（RTA）の代替的なシナリオの経済効果を定量的に比較することである。米国は、TPPから撤退すると、裨益しないばかりか、損失を被る可能性も推計される。日本との2国間の自由貿易協定（FTA）及び経済連携協定（EPA）の効果はTPPよりも小さくなる。中国やメキシコに対する米国の高い関税の課税は、中国、メキシコばかりか米国の経済厚生を著しく損なう。中国の東アジア地域包括的経済連携（RCEP）からの便益は、合意内容によっては、米国の関税の影響に比べて相対的に限られたものとなる。英国は、EUからの離脱によって損失を被るが、EU離脱のコストは、TPP参加の便益に比べて小さくなる可能性がある。総じて、関税削減に比べて、非関税措置（NTM）削減による所得効果はより大きなものとなることが示される。より大きな経済的な便益を享受するため、RTAの高い水準を達成する最善の努力が世界的に行われることが勧められる。","subitem_description_type":"Abstract"},{"subitem_description":"Recently a number of large-scale uncertainties have emerged as threats to the development of regional integration. Most notably, the UK has decided to leave the EU, and the new US president has stated that he will withdraw the US from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). This paper presents a quantitative comparison of the economic impact of a number of alternative regional trade agreement (RTA) scenarios. The impacts were estimated using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of global trade. It is estimated that the US will no longer gain, and may even lose, if it withdraws from TPP. The benefits of the bilateral Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) with Japan will be smaller than those of TPP. Higher tariffs on US imports from China and Mexico will lead to significant deterioration of the economic welfare of not only China and Mexico but also the US. Furthermore, China’s benefit from the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) may be relatively limited depending on the levels of the agreement and weighed against the adverse impacts of the possible US tariffs. The UK economy will suffer as a result of BREXIT, but the cost of BREXIT could be smaller than the possible benefits of joining TPP. All in all, it has been shown that income gains resulting from non-tariff measures (NTMs) reductions are much larger than those arising from tariff removals. Global best efforts are required to achieve larger scale RTAs and the resulting predictably larger economic benefits.","subitem_description_type":"Abstract"}]},"item_12_description_7":{"attribute_name":"内容記述","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_description":"JEL Classification Codes: D58, F13, F14, F15, F17","subitem_description_type":"Other"}]},"item_12_full_name_3":{"attribute_name":"著者別名","attribute_value_mlt":[{"nameIdentifiers":[{"nameIdentifier":"8351","nameIdentifierScheme":"WEKO"}],"names":[{"name":"川﨑, 研一","nameLang":"ja"}]}]},"item_12_identifier_registration":{"attribute_name":"ID登録","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_identifier_reg_text":"10.24545/00001538","subitem_identifier_reg_type":"JaLC"}]},"item_12_publisher_12":{"attribute_name":"出版者","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_publisher":"GRIPS Policy Research Center ","subitem_publisher_language":"en"}]},"item_12_relation_16":{"attribute_name":"関連サイト","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_relation_name":[{"subitem_relation_name_text":"https://ideas.repec.org/p/ngi/dpaper/16-27.html"}],"subitem_relation_type":"isIdenticalTo","subitem_relation_type_id":{"subitem_relation_type_id_text":"https://ideas.repec.org/p/ngi/dpaper/16-27.html","subitem_relation_type_select":"URI"}}]},"item_12_text_10":{"attribute_name":"発行年","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_text_value":"2017-01"}]},"item_12_text_5":{"attribute_name":"著者所属","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_text_value":"政策研究大学院大学 / National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies"}]},"item_12_version_type_19":{"attribute_name":"著者版フラグ","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_version_resource":"http://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aa","subitem_version_type":"AM"}]},"item_1693541285410":{"attribute_name":"書誌情報","attribute_value_mlt":[{"bibliographicIssueDates":{"bibliographicIssueDate":"2017-01-19","bibliographicIssueDateType":"Issued"},"bibliographicVolumeNumber":"DP16-27","bibliographic_titles":[{"bibliographic_title":"GRIPS Discussion Papers","bibliographic_titleLang":"en"}]}]},"item_creator":{"attribute_name":"著者","attribute_type":"creator","attribute_value_mlt":[{"creatorNames":[{"creatorName":"KAWASAKI, Kenichi","creatorNameLang":"en"}],"nameIdentifiers":[{}]}]},"item_files":{"attribute_name":"ファイル情報","attribute_type":"file","attribute_value_mlt":[{"accessrole":"open_access","filename":"DP16-27(rev.).pdf","filesize":[{"value":"782.5 kB"}],"format":"application/pdf","licensetype":"license_note","mimetype":"application/pdf","url":{"label":"DP16-27(rev.).pdf","url":"https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/record/1543/files/DP16-27(rev.).pdf"},"version_id":"036adbab-81b8-439f-9ca1-6e76359b8d08"}]},"item_keyword":{"attribute_name":"キーワード","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_subject":"TPP","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"RCEP","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"英国のEU離脱","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"CGEモデル","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"TPP","subitem_subject_language":"en","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"RCEP","subitem_subject_language":"en","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"BREXIT","subitem_subject_language":"en","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"},{"subitem_subject":"CGE model","subitem_subject_language":"en","subitem_subject_scheme":"Other"}]},"item_language":{"attribute_name":"言語","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_language":"jpn"}]},"item_resource_type":{"attribute_name":"資源タイプ","attribute_value_mlt":[{"resourcetype":"technical report"}]},"item_title":"台頭する地域統合の不確実性 -代替的な地域貿易協定シナリオの経済効果-","item_titles":{"attribute_name":"タイトル","attribute_value_mlt":[{"subitem_title":"台頭する地域統合の不確実性 -代替的な地域貿易協定シナリオの経済効果-","subitem_title_language":"ja"}]},"item_type_id":"12","owner":"16","path":["78"],"pubdate":{"attribute_name":"PubDate","attribute_value":"2017-01-19"},"publish_date":"2017-01-19","publish_status":"0","recid":"1543","relation_version_is_last":true,"title":["台頭する地域統合の不確実性 -代替的な地域貿易協定シナリオの経済効果-"],"weko_creator_id":"16","weko_shared_id":-1},"updated":"2023-11-20T08:44:45.012650+00:00"}