Item type |
ディスカッションペーパー / Discussion Paper(1) |
公開日 |
2025-05-14 |
タイトル |
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タイトル |
Measuring the Economic Impact of the 2017 Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Outbreaks in the Philippines Using a CGE Model |
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言語 |
en |
言語 |
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言語 |
eng |
資源タイプ |
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資源タイプ |
technical report |
ID登録 |
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ID登録 (DOI) |
10.24545/0002000197 |
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ID登録タイプ |
JaLC |
著者 |
ABAO,Lary Nel B.
SY,Deborah Kim
HOSOE,Nobuhiro
AKUNE,Yuko
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著者別名 |
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別名 |
細江,宣裕 |
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言語 |
ja |
著者別名 |
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別名 |
阿久根, 優子 |
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言語 |
ja |
著者所属 |
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値 |
政策研究大学院大学 / National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies |
抄録 |
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内容記述タイプ |
Abstract |
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内容記述 |
We study the impact and drivers of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks in the Philippines in 2017, using a static computable general equilibrium model. Observed data that indicate the market impact of the HPAI are partial; profit and welfare impacts have not been quantified yet. We investigate two major drivers of productivity declines by culling and death of birds and supply disruptions in the poultry sector and consumer avoidance behavior in meat consumption behind the observed market price drop of 7%. We estimate that possible combinations of productivity declines and consumer avoidance were 1–10% and 60–90% and that the HPAI inflicted a welfare loss of 25–56 billion PHP (500 million–1.12 billion USD) and a profit loss of 15–23 billion PHP (295–467 million USD). |
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言語 |
en |
発行年 |
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値 |
2025-05 |
書誌情報 |
en : GRIPS Discussion Papers
Report No. 25-4,
発行日 2025-05-10
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出版者 |
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出版者 |
GRIPS Policy Research Center |
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言語 |
en |
関連サイト |
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関連タイプ |
isIdenticalTo |
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識別子タイプ |
URI |
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関連識別子 |
https://ideas.repec.org/p/ngi/dpaper/25-4.html |
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関連名称 |
https://ideas.repec.org/p/ngi/dpaper/25-4.html |
著者情報 |
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内容記述タイプ |
Other |
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内容記述 |
https://www.grips.ac.jp/list/jp/facultyinfo/hosoe_nobuhiro/ |
著者版フラグ |
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出版タイプResource |
AM |