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Estimation Errors in Input-Output Tables and Prediction Errors in Computable General Equilibrium Analysis
https://doi.org/10.24545/00001130
https://doi.org/10.24545/00001130852431e7-250f-46dc-8ce9-32adece34b0d
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
|---|---|---|
DP13-19.pdf (461.1 kB)
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| Item type | ディスカッションペーパー / Discussion Paper(1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 公開日 | 2013-10-07 | |||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||
| タイトル | Estimation Errors in Input-Output Tables and Prediction Errors in Computable General Equilibrium Analysis | |||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||
| 言語 | ||||||||
| 言語 | eng | |||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||
| 主題 | Input-output tables | |||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||
| 主題 | computable general equilibrium analysis | |||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||
| 主題 | non-survey method | |||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||
| 主題 | cross-entropy method | |||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||
| 資源タイプ | technical report | |||||||
| ID登録 | ||||||||
| ID登録 (DOI) | 10.24545/00001130 | |||||||
| ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||
| 著者 |
HOSOE, Nobuhiro
× HOSOE, Nobuhiro
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| 著者別名 | ||||||||
| 識別子Scheme | WEKO | |||||||
| 識別子 | 6756 | |||||||
| 姓名 | 細江, 宣裕 | |||||||
| 言語 | ja | |||||||
| 著者所属 | ||||||||
| 値 | 政策研究大学院大学 / National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies | |||||||
| 分野 | ||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||
| 内容記述 | 経済学 / Economics | |||||||
| 抄録 | ||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||
| 内容記述 | We used 1995-2000-2005 linked input-output (IO) tables for Japan to examine estimation errors of updated IO tables and the resulting prediction errors in computable general equilibrium (CGE) analysis developed with updated IO tables. As we usually have no true IO tables for the target year and therefore need to estimate them, we cannot evaluate estimation errors of updated IO tables without comparing the updated ones with true ones. However, using the linked IO tables covering three different years enables us to make this comparison. Our experiments showed that IO tables estimated with more detailed and recent data contained smaller estimation errors and led to smaller quantitative prediction errors in CGE analysis. Despite the quantitative prediction errors, prediction was found to be qualitatively correct. As for the performance of updating techniques of IO tables, a cross-entropy method often outperformed a least-squares method in IO estimation with only aggregate data for the target year but did not necessarily outperform the least-squares method in CGE prediction. | |||||||
| 内容記述 | ||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||
| 内容記述 | JEL Classification Codes: D57, C68, C83 | |||||||
| 発行年 | ||||||||
| 値 | 2013-10 | |||||||
| 書誌情報 |
en : GRIPS Discussion Papers Report No. DP13-19, 発行日 2013-10-07 |
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| 出版者 | ||||||||
| 出版者 | GRIPS Policy Research Center | |||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||
| 関連サイト | ||||||||
| 関連タイプ | isIdenticalTo | |||||||
| 識別子タイプ | URI | |||||||
| 関連識別子 | https://ideas.repec.org/p/ngi/dpaper/13-19.html | |||||||
| 関連名称 | https://ideas.repec.org/p/ngi/dpaper/13-19.html | |||||||
| 著者情報 | ||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||
| 内容記述 | https://www.grips.ac.jp/list/jp/facultyinfo/hosoe_nobuhiro/ | |||||||
| 著者版フラグ | ||||||||
| 出版タイプ | AM | |||||||
| 出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aa | |||||||
