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Climate change and migration decisions: A choice experiment from the Mekong Delta, Vietnam
https://doi.org/10.24545/00001879
https://doi.org/10.24545/00001879a8c28931-d6e3-49d5-9b1c-b8fe90cc8f79
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
|---|---|---|
DP22-07.pdf (997.9 kB)
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| Item type | ディスカッションペーパー / Discussion Paper(1) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 公開日 | 2022-05-25 | |||||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||||
| タイトル | Climate change and migration decisions: A choice experiment from the Mekong Delta, Vietnam | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 言語 | ||||||||||
| 言語 | eng | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Climate change | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | migration | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | choice experiment | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | drought and saline intrusion | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | flood | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Vietnam | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Mekong Rivers | |||||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||||
| 資源タイプ | technical report | |||||||||
| ID登録 | ||||||||||
| ID登録 (DOI) | 10.24545/00001879 | |||||||||
| ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||||
| 著者 |
TRINH, Tra Thi
× TRINH, Tra Thi
× MUNRO, Alistair
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| 著者所属 | ||||||||||
| 値 | 政策研究大学院大学 / National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies | |||||||||
| 抄録 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | Forecasting the impact of climate change on migration is difficult, given widespread reliance on historical data and limited exposure to actual climate change amongst target populations. This study takes a different approach, developing a new methodology that employs a choice experiment to examine intentions to migrate among farmers living in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta, one of the areas in the world most significantly affected by climate change. The respondents are asked to make migration choices for scenarios constructed using six attributes: drought intensity, flood frequency, income change from migration, migration networks, neighbors’ choices, and crop choice restriction. The results suggest that increasing the intensity/frequency of drought/flood increases the likelihood of migration; the effects are stronger for individuals with prior experience of climate change. Furthermore, the contribution of network attribute is gendered and dependent on migration experience. Finally, crop choice restriction, such as those widely employed by the Vietnamese government to control rice planting, may trigger a higher probability of migration. These findings provide insights into the debate on climate change-migration nexus in rural and lowland areas that are seriously affected by climate change. Furthermore, extensive choice experiment data on migration preferences under a diverse range of climate variabilities facilitates projections of environmentally induced migration. | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | JEL Classification Codes: C35,D9,R23,Q51 | |||||||||
| 発行年 | ||||||||||
| 値 | 2022-05 | |||||||||
| 書誌情報 |
en : GRIPS Discussion Papers Report No. 22-07, 発行日 2022-05-25 |
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| 出版者 | ||||||||||
| 出版者 | GRIPS Policy Research Center | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 関連サイト | ||||||||||
| 関連タイプ | isIdenticalTo | |||||||||
| 識別子タイプ | URI | |||||||||
| 関連識別子 | https://ideas.repec.org/p/ngi/dpaper/22-07.html | |||||||||
| 関連名称 | https://ideas.repec.org/p/ngi/dpaper/22-07.html | |||||||||
| 著者情報 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | https://www.grips.ac.jp/list/jp/facultyinfo/munro_alistair/ | |||||||||
| 著者版フラグ | ||||||||||
| 出版タイプ | AM | |||||||||
| 出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aa | |||||||||
