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Impact of the US-China Trade War on Vietnam’s Labor Market
https://doi.org/10.24545/0002000007
https://doi.org/10.24545/00020000075b91020b-f0ae-417c-b3ef-8580e37d9ff0
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
|---|---|---|
DP23-9.pdf (680KB)
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| Item type | ディスカッションペーパー / Discussion Paper(1) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 公開日 | 2023-10-12 | |||||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||||
| タイトル | Impact of the US-China Trade War on Vietnam’s Labor Market | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 言語 | ||||||||||
| 言語 | eng | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | labor market informality | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | trade war | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | trade diversion | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | tariffs | |||||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||||
| 資源タイプ | technical report | |||||||||
| ID登録 | ||||||||||
| ID登録 (DOI) | 10.24545/0002000007 | |||||||||
| ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||||
| 著者 |
PHAM, Phuong Ngoc
× PHAM, Phuong Ngoc
× WIE, Dainn
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| 著者所属 | ||||||||||
| 値 | Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam | |||||||||
| 著者所属 | ||||||||||
| 値 | 政策研究大学院大学 / National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies | |||||||||
| 抄録 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | Trade can significantly reduce informality in developing countries by fostering economic growth and creating formal employment opportunities. A large proportion of workers in developing countries such as Vietnam work in the informal sector, making them vulnerable and less productive. This study examines the short-term impact of the US–China trade war as a positive demand shock on the informality of Vietnam's labor market, using nationally representative data from the Vietnam Labor Force Survey from 2017 to 2019. We create an industry-level measure based on variations in tariff increases applied to Chinese goods, representing the tariff advantages granted to Vietnamese firms. The estimation results show that workers in industries with higher tariff advantages are less likely to be employed as informal or uninsured workers. By applying Goldberg and Pavcnik’s (2003) framework, we interpret these findings as indicating that Vietnamese firms perceived the US–China trade shock as a positive and permanent demand shock. To our knowledge, the empirical evidence presented in this study represents a rare investigation into the effects of the trade war on the labor market of a non-participating country. Additionally, the findings offer important implications for other developing countries by showing how Vietnam’s labor market and informality improved as firms took advantage of the new trade opportunities created by trade diversion. | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | JEL Classification Codes: J46, F14, F16 | |||||||||
| 発行年 | ||||||||||
| 値 | 2023-09 | |||||||||
| 書誌情報 |
en : GRIPS Discussion Papers Report No. 23-9, 発行日 2023-10-12 |
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| 出版者 | ||||||||||
| 出版者 | GRIPS Policy Research Center | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 著者情報 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | https://www.grips.ac.jp/list/en/facultyinfo/wie-dainn/ | |||||||||
| 著者版フラグ | ||||||||||
| 出版タイプ | AM | |||||||||
| 出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aa | |||||||||
