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Economic Impact of Further US Tariff Hikes
https://doi.org/10.24545/0002000145
https://doi.org/10.24545/0002000145fddc2c9f-d270-46d4-bf35-4f3e0ad002e7
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
|---|---|---|
DP24-12(rev).pdf (497 KB)
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| Item type | ディスカッションペーパー / Discussion Paper(1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 公開日 | 2024-12-04 | |||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||
| タイトル | Economic Impact of Further US Tariff Hikes | |||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||
| 言語 | ||||||||
| 言語 | eng | |||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||
| 主題 | US. tariff hike | |||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||
| 主題 | computable general equilibrium (CGE) model | |||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||
| 資源タイプ | technical report | |||||||
| ID登録 | ||||||||
| ID登録 (DOI) | 10.24545/0002000145 | |||||||
| ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||
| 著者 |
KAWASAKI, Kenichi
× KAWASAKI, Kenichi
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| 著者別名 | ||||||||
| 姓名 | 川﨑, 研一 | |||||||
| 言語 | ja | |||||||
| 著者所属 | ||||||||
| 値 | 政策研究大学院大学 / National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies | |||||||
| 抄録 | ||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||
| 内容記述 | US president-elect Trump has proposed further hikes to US import tariffs. This paper quantitatively investigates the economic impact of US tariff hikes by means of simulation studies using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of global trade. If the US hiked import tariffs further, the US would be a primary loser in the world economy rather a winner. Protectionism has not been found to create jobs at the macro level. The adverse impact of proposed US tariff hikes would be larger than that of past tariff hikes and the next largest to those under the two recent recessions. Industry structures would be distorted among economies in a less resource efficient manner than previously. That said, the adverse economic impact on other economies would be limited, and several economies would even benefit from the resultant decline in prices, and moreover from trade diversion effects, depending on the policy scenario. In that light, the impact on the economy at both the macro and sector levels needs to be considered when introducing policy measures moving toward protectionism. | |||||||
| 内容記述 | ||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||
| 内容記述 | JEL classification: C68, F13, F14, F17 | |||||||
| 発行年 | ||||||||
| 値 | 2024-12 | |||||||
| 書誌情報 |
en : GRIPS Discussion Papers Report No. 24-12, 発行日 2024-12-04 |
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| 出版者 | ||||||||
| 出版者 | GRIPS Policy Research Center | |||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||
| 著者情報 | ||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||
| 内容記述 | https://www.grips.ac.jp/list/jp/facultyinfo/kawasaki-kenichi/ | |||||||
| 著者版フラグ | ||||||||
| 出版タイプ | AM | |||||||
| 出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aa | |||||||
