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DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES AND THE LONG-TERM PENSION FINANCES IN VIETNAM: A STOCHASTIC ACTUARIAL ASSESSMENT
https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/987
https://grips.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/987949c8020-ce2b-4bb5-ae8a-d59317b509fd
| Item type | ディスカッションペーパー / Discussion Paper(1) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 公開日 | 2008-07-01 | |||||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||||
| タイトル | DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES AND THE LONG-TERM PENSION FINANCES IN VIETNAM: A STOCHASTIC ACTUARIAL ASSESSMENT | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 言語 | ||||||||||
| 言語 | eng | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | aging | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | stochastic projections | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | pension finances | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Vietnam | |||||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||||
| 資源タイプ | technical report | |||||||||
| アクセス権 | ||||||||||
| アクセス権 | metadata only access | |||||||||
| 著者 |
GIANG, Long Thanh
× GIANG, Long Thanh
× PFAU, Wade D.
|
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| 著者所属 | ||||||||||
| 値 | National Economics University | |||||||||
| 著者所属 | ||||||||||
| 値 | 政策研究大学院大学 / National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies | |||||||||
| 分野 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | 経済学 / Economics | |||||||||
| 抄録 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | This paper aims to provide a long-term financial vision for the Vietnamese pension scheme using stochastic modeling for key variables under an actuarial framework. In particular, we project the pension fund balances in order to see whether the scheme will be financially sustainable. The median values of the status-quo projections show that the pension fund will be depleted in about 2052 with a 90-percent confidence interval range of 8 years. The estimated results from our sensitivity tests show that the retirement age, the indexation method for pension benefits, and the contribution rate are all crucial determinants of the pension fund balance in the long term. At the same time, some factors, including coverage rates, administrative costs, the long-term fertility rate, and the rate of return on pension fund assets play less important roles in determining the fund’s balance. | |||||||||
| 発行年 | ||||||||||
| 値 | 2008-07 | |||||||||
| 書誌情報 |
en : GRIPS Discussion Papers Report No. DP08-05, 発行日 2008-07-01 |
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| 出版者 | ||||||||||
| 出版者 | GRIPS Policy Research Center | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 関連サイト | ||||||||||
| 関連タイプ | isIdenticalTo | |||||||||
| 識別子タイプ | URI | |||||||||
| 関連識別子 | https://ideas.repec.org/p/ngi/dpaper/08-05.html | |||||||||
| 関連名称 | https://ideas.repec.org/p/ngi/dpaper/08-05.html | |||||||||
